MLB: What to watch on July 22, 2025

22 July 2025
mlbw

Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better.

This is inspired by Carson Cistulli's NERD scores at FanGraphs. (I'll write a bit about the details of my implementation on GitHub soon, and then link to that from this intro.)

Score	Time (EDT)	Visitors	Score	Home	Score	Starter (V)	Score	Starter (H)	Score
17.7	9:40p	Milwaukee Brewers	7.4	Seattle Mariners	5.7	Jacob Misiorowski	11.0	Logan Gilbert	11.4
14.9	8:05p	Athletics	7.6	Texas Rangers	5.9	J.T. Ginn	6.5	Jacob deGrom	9.7
14.5	6:45p	Boston Red Sox	6.7	Philadelphia Phillies	5.9	Richard Fitts	7.4	Cristopher Sánchez	9.0
11.9	9:40p	Houston Astros	4.7	Arizona Diamondbacks	7.8	Framber Valdez	7.2	Eduardo Rodriguez	4.1
11.6	8:05p	Kansas City Royals	2.9	Chicago Cubs	9.4	Rich Hill	No data	Matthew Boyd	5.5
11.4	7:07p	New York Yankees	8.4	Toronto Blue Jays	6.5	Cam Schlittler	No data	Max Scherzer	3.9
10.7	10:10p	Minnesota Twins	3.8	Los Angeles Dodgers	6.8	Simeon Woods Richardson	2.5	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	8.2
10.7	6:40p	Detroit Tigers	8.6	Pittsburgh Pirates	2.8	Casey Mize	5.6	Mitch Keller	4.3
9.9	6:40p	Baltimore Orioles	2.3	Cleveland Guardians	5.2	Brandon Young	4.3	Joey Cantillo	7.9
9.9	6:45p	Cincinnati Reds	3.7	Washington Nationals	2.2	Chase Burns	No data	Brad Lord	6.9
9.7	7:15p	San Francisco Giants	1.9	Atlanta Braves	5.7	Landen Roupp	5.8	Davis Daniel	No data
9.5	7:05p	Chicago White Sox	2.6	Tampa Bay Rays	6.3	Davis Martin	3.7	Drew Rasmussen	6.4
9.3	6:40p	San Diego Padres	2.1	Miami Marlins	6.1	Stephen Kolek	3.1	Edward Cabrera	7.2
7.6	7:10p	Los Angeles Angels	2.8	New York Mets	8.3	Kyle Hendricks	2.0	Frankie Montas	No data
3.7	8:40p	St. Louis Cardinals	4.9	Colorado Rockies	2.3	Erick Fedde	-0.9	Bradley Blalock	1.2

Notes:

Pitcher 'no data': Pitchers only have a pNERD score once they've started at least one game and have at least 20 innings pitched. I might also show 'no data' when I'm not correctly linking the schedule information with a pitcher's stats, like if the names don't match (I have an open issue to improve this).

Detail

Milwaukee Brewers @ Seattle Mariners, 9:40p

Milwaukee Brewers

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	5.3	6.0%	11.2	18.8	$112.2M	27.6	-40.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.13	-1.96	2.15	1.11	-0.82	-1.14	-2.27	—	—
tNERD	0.13	-1.96	2.15	1.11	0.82	1.14	0.00	4.00	7.39

Seattle Mariners

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	59.8	9.2%	-4.2	-14.7	$152.8M	28.2	16.0	—	—
Z-Score	1.23	0.46	-0.87	-0.86	-0.27	-0.53	0.90	—	—
tNERD	1.23	0.46	-0.87	-0.86	0.27	0.53	0.90	4.00	5.67

Visiting starter: Jacob Misiorowski

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	78	13.6%	66.7%	99.4 mph	23	19.5s	-9	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-1.39	1.57	1.13	2.62	-1.49	0.80	—	—	—	—
pNERD	2.77	0.78	0.56	2.00	1.49	-0.40	0.00	0.00	3.80	11.00

Home starter: Logan Gilbert

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	57	16.6%	66.5%	95.4 mph	28	20.5s	33	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-2.65	3.03	1.07	0.78	-0.17	1.61	—	—	—	—
pNERD	5.30	1.51	0.54	0.78	0.17	-0.80	0.05	0.00	3.80	11.35

Athletics @ Texas Rangers, 8:05p

Athletics

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	6.6	8.2%	2.0	-17.9	$77.1M	27.6	36.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.15	-0.29	0.34	-1.05	-1.29	-1.14	2.04	—	—
tNERD	0.15	-0.29	0.34	-1.05	1.29	1.14	2.00	4.00	7.59

Texas Rangers

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-52.1	8.7%	10.5	14.2	$219.7M	30.4	-26.0	—	—
Z-Score	-1.04	0.08	2.01	0.84	0.63	1.71	-1.48	—	—
tNERD	-1.04	0.08	2.01	0.84	0.00	0.00	0.00	4.00	5.89

Visiting starter: J.T. Ginn

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	69	9.8%	59.7%	93.9 mph	26	20.8s	49	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-1.93	-0.29	-1.81	0.09	-0.70	1.85	—	—	—	—
pNERD	3.86	-0.14	-0.90	0.09	0.70	-0.92	0.05	0.00	3.80	6.52

Home starter: Jacob deGrom

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	79	13.7%	66.9%	97.4 mph	37	18.1s	-21	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-1.33	1.61	1.24	1.70	2.19	-0.33	—	—	—	—
pNERD	2.65	0.81	0.62	1.70	0.00	0.16	0.00	0.00	3.80	9.74

Boston Red Sox @ Philadelphia Phillies, 6:45p

Boston Red Sox

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	20.6	10.2%	2.0	11.3	$191.8M	28.7	0.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.44	1.22	0.34	0.67	0.25	-0.02	-0.00	—	—
tNERD	0.44	1.22	0.34	0.67	0.00	0.02	0.00	4.00	6.69

Philadelphia Phillies

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	17.4	8.7%	4.9	-1.8	$279.5M	29.5	11.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.37	0.08	0.91	-0.10	1.43	0.79	0.62	—	—
tNERD	0.37	0.08	0.91	-0.10	0.00	0.00	0.62	4.00	5.89

Visiting starter: Richard Fitts

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	98	12.5%	68.2%	95.6 mph	25	18.7s	3	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-0.18	1.03	1.78	0.87	-0.96	0.16	—	—	—	—
pNERD	0.36	0.51	0.89	0.87	0.96	-0.08	0.05	0.00	3.80	7.37

Houston Astros @ Arizona Diamondbacks, 9:40p

Houston Astros

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	23.5	7.7%	-1.7	3.3	$221.9M	29.0	18.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.50	-0.67	-0.38	0.20	0.66	0.28	1.02	—	—
tNERD	0.50	-0.67	-0.38	0.20	0.00	0.00	1.02	4.00	4.66

Arizona Diamondbacks

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	65.8	9.3%	6.1	8.2	$189.5M	29.5	5.0	—	—
Z-Score	1.36	0.54	1.15	0.49	0.22	0.79	0.28	—	—
tNERD	1.36	0.54	1.15	0.49	0.00	0.00	0.28	4.00	7.81

Visiting starter: Framber Valdez

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	73	11.2%	64.8%	94.3 mph	31	19.9s	-4	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-1.69	0.40	0.32	0.27	0.61	1.12	—	—	—	—
pNERD	3.37	0.20	0.16	0.27	0.00	-0.56	0.00	0.00	3.80	7.24

Home starter: Eduardo Rodriguez

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	97	10.4%	62.7%	91.9 mph	32	18.4s	45	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-0.24	0.01	-0.57	-0.83	0.88	-0.09	—	—	—	—
pNERD	0.48	0.00	-0.28	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.05	0.00	3.80	4.09

Kansas City Royals @ Chicago Cubs, 8:05p

Kansas City Royals

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-65.6	7.5%	-5.9	1.6	$130.0M	28.8	28.0	—	—
Z-Score	-1.31	-0.82	-1.20	0.10	-0.58	0.08	1.58	—	—
tNERD	-1.31	-0.82	-1.20	0.10	0.58	0.00	1.58	4.00	2.92

Chicago Cubs

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	73.7	10.2%	7.3	21.2	$197.7M	30.6	-14.0	—	—
Z-Score	1.52	1.22	1.38	1.25	0.33	1.91	-0.80	—	—
tNERD	1.52	1.22	1.38	1.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	4.00	9.37

Home starter: Matthew Boyd

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	94	10.5%	67.8%	93.2 mph	34	18.5s	-36	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-0.42	0.06	1.61	-0.24	1.40	-0.01	—	—	—	—
pNERD	0.84	0.03	0.81	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3.80	5.48

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays, 7:07p

New York Yankees

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	87.1	11.5%	-4.9	8.8	$290.9M	29.1	15.0	—	—
Z-Score	1.79	2.20	-1.01	0.52	1.58	0.38	0.85	—	—
tNERD	1.79	2.20	-1.01	0.52	0.00	0.00	0.85	4.00	8.35

Toronto Blue Jays

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	28.9	8.2%	-2.0	33.9	$248.4M	29.6	12.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.61	-0.29	-0.44	2.00	1.01	0.89	0.68	—	—
tNERD	0.61	-0.29	-0.44	2.00	0.00	0.00	0.68	4.00	6.55

Home starter: Max Scherzer

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	99	10.5%	65.0%	93.5 mph	40	19.5s	17	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-0.12	0.06	0.43	-0.10	2.98	0.80	—	—	—	—
pNERD	0.24	0.03	0.21	0.00	0.00	-0.40	0.05	0.00	3.80	3.93

Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10p

Minnesota Twins

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-2.4	9.0%	-5.0	-9.8	$145.1M	28.8	13.0	—	—
Z-Score	-0.03	0.31	-1.03	-0.57	-0.37	0.08	0.73	—	—
tNERD	-0.03	0.31	-1.03	-0.57	0.37	0.00	0.73	4.00	3.79

Los Angeles Dodgers

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	70.5	10.1%	2.6	-4.8	$341.0M	29.6	-17.0	—	—
Z-Score	1.45	1.14	0.46	-0.28	2.26	0.89	-0.97	—	—
tNERD	1.45	1.14	0.46	-0.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	4.00	6.78

Visiting starter: Simeon Woods Richardson

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	119	9.7%	63.9%	93.3 mph	24	18.8s	-22	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	1.09	-0.33	-0.04	-0.19	-1.22	0.24	—	—	—	—
pNERD	-2.17	-0.17	-0.02	0.00	1.22	-0.12	0.00	0.00	3.80	2.54

Home starter: Yoshinobu Yamamoto

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	77	11.6%	63.5%	95.2 mph	26	18.6s	-14	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-1.45	0.59	-0.21	0.68	-0.70	0.07	—	—	—	—
pNERD	2.89	0.30	-0.11	0.68	0.70	-0.04	0.00	0.00	3.80	8.23

Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates, 6:40p

Detroit Tigers

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	29.2	9.9%	6.8	3.2	$148.2M	27.6	-13.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.61	0.99	1.28	0.19	-0.33	-1.14	-0.74	—	—
tNERD	0.61	0.99	1.28	0.19	0.33	1.14	0.00	4.00	8.56

Pittsburgh Pirates

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-98.8	8.2%	-6.3	8.5	$88.9M	28.4	7.0	—	—
Z-Score	-1.99	-0.29	-1.28	0.51	-1.13	-0.33	0.39	—	—
tNERD	-1.99	-0.29	-1.28	0.51	1.13	0.33	0.39	4.00	2.79

Visiting starter: Casey Mize

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	98	10.4%	66.4%	94.6 mph	28	17.6s	-20	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-0.18	0.01	1.02	0.41	-0.17	-0.73	—	—	—	—
pNERD	0.36	0.00	0.51	0.41	0.17	0.37	0.00	0.00	3.80	5.62

Home starter: Mitch Keller

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	99	8.3%	67.0%	93.7 mph	29	18.1s	-17	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-0.12	-1.02	1.28	-0.01	0.09	-0.33	—	—	—	—
pNERD	0.24	-0.51	0.64	0.00	0.00	0.16	0.00	0.00	3.80	4.34

Baltimore Orioles @ Cleveland Guardians, 6:40p

Baltimore Orioles

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-19.6	8.8%	-1.9	-18.9	$167.6M	29.2	-5.0	—	—
Z-Score	-0.38	0.16	-0.42	-1.11	-0.07	0.49	-0.29	—	—
tNERD	-0.38	0.16	-0.42	-1.11	0.07	0.00	0.00	4.00	2.32

Cleveland Guardians

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-52.9	6.7%	2.7	17.7	$102.3M	27.5	-15.0	—	—
Z-Score	-1.06	-1.43	0.48	1.05	-0.95	-1.25	-0.85	—	—
tNERD	-1.06	-1.43	0.48	1.05	0.95	1.25	0.00	4.00	5.24

Visiting starter: Brandon Young

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	102	9.8%	64.0%	93.7 mph	26	18.5s	86	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	0.06	-0.29	-0.00	-0.01	-0.70	-0.01	—	—	—	—
pNERD	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	0.00	0.70	0.00	0.05	0.00	3.80	4.29

Home starter: Joey Cantillo

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	77	12.1%	61.5%	91.8 mph	25	17.7s	28	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-1.45	0.83	-1.07	-0.88	-0.96	-0.65	—	—	—	—
pNERD	2.89	0.42	-0.53	0.00	0.96	0.33	0.05	0.00	3.80	7.91

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals, 6:45p

Cincinnati Reds

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-18.2	7.1%	4.5	-7.4	$115.7M	28.7	-21.0	—	—
Z-Score	-0.35	-1.13	0.83	-0.43	-0.77	-0.02	-1.19	—	—
tNERD	-0.35	-1.13	0.83	-0.43	0.77	0.02	0.00	4.00	3.72

Washington Nationals

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-12.3	7.7%	-5.5	-30.7	$115.9M	27.5	-13.0	—	—
Z-Score	-0.23	-0.67	-1.13	-1.80	-0.77	-1.25	-0.74	—	—
tNERD	-0.23	-0.67	-1.13	-1.80	0.77	1.25	0.00	4.00	2.18

San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves, 7:15p

San Francisco Giants

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-25.2	7.4%	-5.3	6.4	$195.3M	29.3	-13.0	—	—
Z-Score	-0.49	-0.90	-1.09	0.38	0.30	0.59	-0.74	—	—
tNERD	-0.49	-0.90	-1.09	0.38	0.00	0.00	0.00	4.00	1.90

Atlanta Braves

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-7.3	9.2%	-2.8	17.7	$216.2M	29.4	17.0	—	—
Z-Score	-0.13	0.46	-0.60	1.05	0.58	0.69	0.96	—	—
tNERD	-0.13	0.46	-0.60	1.05	0.00	0.00	0.96	4.00	5.74

Visiting starter: Landen Roupp

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	98	9.6%	62.8%	92.7 mph	26	15.0s	-17	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-0.18	-0.38	-0.50	-0.47	-0.70	-2.83	—	—	—	—
pNERD	0.36	-0.19	-0.25	0.00	0.70	1.42	0.00	0.00	3.80	5.84

Chicago White Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays, 7:05p

Chicago White Sox

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-77.8	7.8%	-1.5	-24.1	$79.0M	27.5	-9.0	—	—
Z-Score	-1.56	-0.60	-0.34	-1.41	-1.26	-1.25	-0.51	—	—
tNERD	-1.56	-0.60	-0.34	-1.41	1.26	1.25	0.00	4.00	2.59

Tampa Bay Rays

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	11.9	7.7%	6.4	-16.9	$89.9M	27.4	-17.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.26	-0.67	1.21	-0.99	-1.12	-1.35	-0.97	—	—
tNERD	0.26	-0.67	1.21	-0.99	1.12	1.35	0.00	4.00	6.27

Visiting starter: Davis Martin

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	105	9.2%	62.9%	93.4 mph	28	16.8s	-12	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	0.24	-0.58	-0.48	-0.14	-0.17	-1.38	—	—	—	—
pNERD	-0.48	-0.29	-0.24	0.00	0.17	0.69	0.00	0.00	3.80	3.65

Home starter: Drew Rasmussen

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	86	9.0%	65.4%	95.7 mph	29	18.6s	-15	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-0.90	-0.68	0.58	0.91	0.09	0.07	—	—	—	—
pNERD	1.81	-0.34	0.29	0.91	0.00	-0.04	0.00	0.00	3.80	6.44

San Diego Padres @ Miami Marlins, 6:40p

San Diego Padres

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-9.5	7.0%	-3.2	-0.5	$209.3M	30.0	4.0	—	—
Z-Score	-0.17	-1.20	-0.68	-0.02	0.49	1.30	0.22	—	—
tNERD	-0.17	-1.20	-0.68	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.22	4.00	2.15

Miami Marlins

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-18.4	8.0%	-2.4	0.4	$67.3M	26.8	0.0	—	—
Z-Score	-0.36	-0.45	-0.52	0.03	-1.42	-1.96	-0.00	—	—
tNERD	-0.36	-0.45	-0.52	0.03	1.42	1.96	0.00	4.00	6.09

Visiting starter: Stephen Kolek

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	105	7.5%	62.5%	93.9 mph	28	17.2s	2	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	0.24	-1.41	-0.65	0.09	-0.17	-1.06	—	—	—	—
pNERD	-0.48	-0.70	-0.33	0.09	0.17	0.53	0.05	0.00	3.80	3.13

Home starter: Edward Cabrera

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	91	11.5%	62.8%	96.7 mph	27	17.7s	-5	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	-0.60	0.54	-0.52	1.38	-0.44	-0.65	—	—	—	—
pNERD	1.20	0.27	-0.26	1.38	0.44	0.33	0.00	0.00	3.80	7.15

Los Angeles Angels @ New York Mets, 7:10p

Los Angeles Angels

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-9.1	11.1%	-3.3	-37.3	$203.8M	29.2	-8.0	—	—
Z-Score	-0.17	1.90	-0.70	-2.19	0.41	0.49	-0.46	—	—
tNERD	-0.17	1.90	-0.70	-2.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	4.00	2.85

New York Mets

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	38.9	10.4%	2.9	5.5	$332.0M	29.7	22.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.81	1.37	0.52	0.33	2.14	1.00	1.24	—	—
tNERD	0.81	1.37	0.52	0.33	0.00	0.00	1.24	4.00	8.27

Visiting starter: Kyle Hendricks

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	116	7.4%	67.3%	86.4 mph	35	18.5s	3	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	0.91	-1.45	1.40	-3.37	1.66	-0.01	—	—	—	—
pNERD	-1.81	-0.73	0.70	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.00	3.80	2.02

St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies, 8:40p

St. Louis Cardinals

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	10.4	7.9%	-3.3	21.7	$135.7M	28.6	-10.0	—	—
Z-Score	0.23	-0.52	-0.70	1.28	-0.50	-0.13	-0.57	—	—
tNERD	0.23	-0.52	-0.70	1.28	0.50	0.13	0.00	4.00	4.92

Colorado Rockies

	Batting Runs	Barrel %	Baserunning	Fielding	Payroll	Age	Luck	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	-108.5	8.3%	-3.3	-20.0	$125.9M	27.9	19.0	—	—
Z-Score	-2.19	-0.22	-0.70	-1.17	-0.63	-0.84	1.07	—	—
tNERD	-2.19	-0.22	-0.70	-1.17	0.63	0.84	1.07	4.00	2.27

Visiting starter: Erick Fedde

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	130	6.6%	60.4%	93.2 mph	32	17.4s	-11	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	1.75	-1.84	-1.50	-0.24	0.88	-0.89	—	—	—	—
pNERD	-3.50	-0.92	-0.75	0.00	0.00	0.45	0.00	0.00	3.80	-0.93

Home starter: Bradley Blalock

	xFIP-	SwStr%	Strike %	Velocity	Age	Pace	Luck	KN%	Constant	TOTAL
Raw Stat	126	6.6%	63.6%	94.8 mph	24	19.3s	87	0.0%	—	—
Z-Score	1.51	-1.84	-0.17	0.50	-1.22	0.64	—	—	—	—
pNERD	-3.02	-0.92	-0.09	0.50	1.22	-0.32	0.05	0.00	3.80	1.23

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