MLB: What to watch on October 13, 2025
Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better. For more information, read this post.
| Score | Time (PT) | Visitors | Score | Home | Score | Starter (V) | Score | Starter (H) | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.3 | 5:08p | Los Angeles Dodgers | 7.6 | Milwaukee Brewers | 9.7 | Blake Snell | 8.3 | TBD | No data |
| 14.0 | 2:03p | Seattle Mariners | 5.9 | Toronto Blue Jays | 6.9 | Logan Gilbert | 10.2 | Trey Yesavage | No data |
Notes:
- Pitcher 'no data': Pitchers only have a pNERD score once they've started at least one game and have at least 20 innings pitched. I also show 'no data' when I can't correctly link a starting pitcher with their stats.
- Generated by the mlb-watchability project on GitHub.
Detail
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers, 5:08p
Summary
This NLCS Game 1 matchup delivers a compelling paradox: the defending champion Dodgers, who lost all six regular season meetings to Milwaukee, send their postseason ace Blake Snell against an undetermined Brewers starter in what shapes up as one of the more watchable games in recent memory. The gNERD score of 15.26 sits well above the historical median and ranks at the top of today's slate, driven by strong team components from both sides and Snell's excellent 8.26 pNERD.
Snell has been excellent in two starts this postseason, striking out 18 against five walks and allowing just two runs across 13 innings, and his underlying metrics support the dominance—a 75 xFIP- (25% better than league average) and elite 20% swinging-strike rate. The Brewers counter with uncertainty at the mound, having deployed bullpen games throughout their NLDS against the Cubs, which adds intrigue to the pitching matchup. Milwaukee's 9.71 tNERD is exceptional, boosted by elite baserunning (2.12 component) and strong bullpen performance, while their younger roster (1.14 age component) provides energy. The Dodgers lost all six games to Milwaukee during the regular season, all within a two-week span in July, giving this series opener added narrative weight as Los Angeles looks to reverse that trend on baseball's biggest stage.
(A model from Anthropic generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10.)
Recommended broadcasts: TV, Milwaukee Brewers (2.66); radio, Milwaukee Brewers (2.56)
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Batting | Barrel% | BaseR | Fielding | Bullpen | Payroll | Age | Luck | TV | Radio | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 95.1 | 10.0% | -1.4 | 0.8 | 56.5 | $341.0M | 29.6 | -3.0 | 2.45 | 2.51 | — | — |
| Z-score | 1.33 | 1.16 | -0.26 | 0.04 | 1.09 | 2.26 | 0.89 | -0.14 | 0.12 | 0.26 | — | — |
| tNERD | 1.33 | 1.16 | -0.26 | 0.04 | 1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 4.00 | 7.56 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Batting | Barrel% | BaseR | Fielding | Bullpen | Payroll | Age | Luck | TV | Radio | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 50.4 | 6.7% | 15.0 | 21.7 | 57.2 | $112.2M | 27.6 | -26.0 | 2.66 | 2.56 | — | — |
| Z-score | 0.71 | -1.57 | 2.12 | 0.91 | 1.13 | -0.82 | -1.14 | -1.15 | 0.53 | 0.37 | — | — |
| tNERD | 0.71 | -1.57 | 2.12 | 0.91 | 1.13 | 0.82 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 0.18 | 4.00 | 9.71 |
Blake Snell, Los Angeles Dodgers
| xFIP- | SwStr% | Strike% | Velocity | Age | Pace | Luck | KN% | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 75 | 15.3% | 62.1% | 95.2 mph | 32 | 18.6s | -19 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Z-score | -1.59 | 2.23 | -0.78 | 0.59 | 0.92 | 0.06 | — | — | — | — |
| pNERD | 3.17 | 1.11 | -0.39 | 0.59 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.80 | 8.26 |
Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays, 2:03p
Summary
This ALCS Game 2 matchup features Seattle's ace Logan Gilbert against Toronto's breakout rookie sensation Trey Yesavage, with the Blue Jays looking to even the series after dropping the opener. Gilbert brings one of the highest pitcher watchability scores today with a 70 xFIP- and elite swinging-strike rate, while Yesavage struck out 11 Yankees in 5⅓ no-hit innings in his last outing. The gNERD score of 13.98 sits comfortably above the historical average and ranks as the lowest among today's games, driven primarily by Gilbert's stellar 10.15 pNERD that places him in the 95th percentile historically. Both teams bring solid batting numbers that contribute positively to watchability, though Toronto's defense stands out with 1.61 runs above average compared to Seattle's below-average fielding. The Mariners haven't been to this round since 2001 and have never won the AL pennant, adding weight to every pitch. Gilbert's quick 20.8-second pace between pitches keeps things moving, though his luck component suggests he's been underperforming his peripherals and could be due for regression. The combination of ace-versus-rookie intrigue and genuine championship stakes makes this worth your attention.
(A model from Anthropic generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10.)
Recommended broadcasts: TV, Toronto Blue Jays (3.10); radio, Seattle Mariners (2.52)
Seattle Mariners
| Batting | Barrel% | BaseR | Fielding | Bullpen | Payroll | Age | Luck | TV | Radio | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 91.7 | 9.5% | -2.9 | -22.8 | 30.2 | $152.8M | 28.2 | 9.0 | 2.35 | 2.52 | — | — |
| Z-score | 1.28 | 0.75 | -0.48 | -0.93 | -0.10 | -0.27 | -0.53 | 0.39 | -0.07 | 0.28 | — | — |
| tNERD | 1.28 | 0.75 | -0.48 | -0.93 | -0.10 | 0.27 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 4.00 | 5.86 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Batting | Barrel% | BaseR | Fielding | Bullpen | Payroll | Age | Luck | TV | Radio | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 90.8 | 8.1% | -5.6 | 38.6 | 30.3 | $248.4M | 29.6 | 17.0 | 3.10 | 2.39 | — | — |
| Z-score | 1.27 | -0.41 | -0.87 | 1.61 | -0.10 | 1.01 | 0.89 | 0.74 | 1.40 | 0.01 | — | — |
| tNERD | 1.27 | -0.41 | -0.87 | 1.61 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.74 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 6.95 |
Logan Gilbert, Seattle Mariners
| xFIP- | SwStr% | Strike% | Velocity | Age | Pace | Luck | KN% | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 70 | 15.5% | 66.3% | 95.4 mph | 28 | 20.8s | 20 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Z-score | -1.89 | 2.33 | 1.05 | 0.68 | -0.13 | 1.84 | — | — | — | — |
| pNERD | 3.77 | 1.16 | 0.52 | 0.68 | 0.13 | -0.92 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.80 | 10.15 |
Trey Yesavage, Toronto Blue Jays
No detailed stats available