MLB: What to watch on October 19, 2025
Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better. For more information, read this post.
| Score | Time (PT) | Visitors | Score | Home | Score | Starter (V) | Score | Starter (H) | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0 | 5:03p | Seattle Mariners | 5.9 | Toronto Blue Jays | 6.9 | Logan Gilbert | 10.2 | Trey Yesavage | No data |
Notes:
- Pitcher 'no data': Pitchers only have a pNERD score once they've started at least one game and have at least 20 innings pitched. I also show 'no data' when I can't correctly link a starting pitcher with their stats.
- Generated by the mlb-watchability project on GitHub.
Detail
Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays, 5:03p
Summary
It’s a gNERD headliner: ALCS Game 6 with Seattle one win from its first World Series, matching ace-caliber Logan Gilbert against Toronto’s headline rookie Trey Yesavage. Throw in a split-finger that eats hitters and a bruised-but-determined George Springer subplot, and the remote basically chooses itself.
Gilbert’s pNERD 10.15 sits near the top of our historical range, driven by an elite 70 xFIP- and 95.4 mph velocity; after a shortened, command-wobbly Game 2 that followed an odd bullpen cameo, he’s back on normal rest for a plausible bounce-back. Yesavage’s pNERD shows 0 only because the model lacks reps; the résumé doesn’t: 11 strikeouts in 5.1 no-hit ALDS innings and a franchise-record nine K in his debut, with the splitter fueling 19 whiffs.
The team contrast helps the watchability: Seattle brings real thump (91.7 Batting Runs, 9.5% barrel rate) but wobbly leather, while Toronto’s higher tNERD is buoyed by elite defense (+38.6 Fielding Runs). The subplot matters, too: Springer’s right-knee contusion returned clean X-rays, and he’s expected to try to go.
Given a gNERD of 13.98—well above the historical median and the clear top of today’s slate—an ace-versus-unknown showdown with series stakes is exactly the kind of weird, tense baseball you make time for.
(A model from OpenAI generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.)
Recommended broadcasts: TV, Toronto Blue Jays (3.10); radio, Seattle Mariners (2.52)
Seattle Mariners
| Batting | Barrel% | BaseR | Fielding | Bullpen | Payroll | Age | Luck | TV | Radio | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 91.7 | 9.5% | -2.9 | -22.8 | 30.2 | $152.8M | 28.2 | 9.0 | 2.35 | 2.52 | — | — |
| Z-score | 1.28 | 0.75 | -0.48 | -0.93 | -0.10 | -0.27 | -0.53 | 0.39 | -0.07 | 0.28 | — | — |
| tNERD | 1.28 | 0.75 | -0.48 | -0.93 | -0.10 | 0.27 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 4.00 | 5.86 |
Toronto Blue Jays
| Batting | Barrel% | BaseR | Fielding | Bullpen | Payroll | Age | Luck | TV | Radio | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 90.8 | 8.1% | -5.6 | 38.6 | 30.3 | $248.4M | 29.6 | 17.0 | 3.10 | 2.39 | — | — |
| Z-score | 1.27 | -0.41 | -0.87 | 1.61 | -0.10 | 1.01 | 0.89 | 0.74 | 1.40 | 0.01 | — | — |
| tNERD | 1.27 | -0.41 | -0.87 | 1.61 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.74 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 4.00 | 6.94 |
Logan Gilbert, Seattle Mariners
| xFIP- | SwStr% | Strike% | Velocity | Age | Pace | Luck | KN% | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 70 | 15.5% | 66.3% | 95.4 mph | 28 | 20.8s | 20 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Z-score | -1.89 | 2.33 | 1.05 | 0.68 | -0.13 | 1.84 | — | — | — | — |
| pNERD | 3.77 | 1.16 | 0.52 | 0.68 | 0.13 | -0.92 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.80 | 10.15 |
Trey Yesavage, Toronto Blue Jays
No detailed stats available