Andrew's Musings

MLB: What to watch on October 24, 2025

Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better. For more information, read this post.

Score Time (PT) Visitors Score Home Score Starter (V) Score Starter (H) Score
13.9 5:00p Los Angeles Dodgers 7.6 Toronto Blue Jays 6.9 Blake Snell 8.3 Trey Yesavage No data

Notes:

Detail

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays, 5:00p

Summary

A rookie making World Series history meets a two-time Cy who’s currently erasing hitters; that’s a pretty good reason to watch. gNERD 13.90 agrees, pitting Blake Snell’s peak form against Trey Yesavage’s audacious Game 1 assignment.

Snell’s strong pNERD (8.26) isn’t theoretical: he carved eight scoreless with 10 strikeouts in the NLCS opener and has allowed two runs total across three postseason starts, the sort of dominance that makes even patient lineups swing first and ask questions later. Yesavage shows a pNERD of 0 only because the model lacks MLB sample; his résumé is anything but empty—5⅓ hitless innings with 11 K in his ALDS debut—and he becomes the second‑youngest pitcher ever to start a World Series Game 1, trailing only Ralph Branca.

Under the hood, Dodgers tNERD (7.59) leans on real thunder (strong batting runs and barrels) plus a top bullpen, while Toronto’s tNERD (6.95) is buoyed by elite fielding despite softer contact quality and shaky baserunning. That means power-and-‘pen versus gloves-and-gumption, layered over the novelty of a 22‑year‑old splitter artist facing a changeup‑happy ace. If you like watchability defined by dominance versus discovery, this is it.

(A model from OpenAI generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3.)

Recommended broadcasts: TV, Toronto Blue Jays (3.10); radio, Los Angeles Dodgers (2.51)

Los Angeles Dodgers

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 95.1 10.0% -1.4 1.6 56.5 $341.0M 29.6 -3.0 2.45 2.51
Z-score 1.33 1.16 -0.26 0.08 1.09 2.26 0.89 -0.14 0.12 0.26
tNERD 1.33 1.16 -0.26 0.08 1.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.13 4.00 7.59

Toronto Blue Jays

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 90.8 8.1% -5.6 38.7 30.3 $248.4M 29.6 17.0 3.10 2.39
Z-score 1.27 -0.41 -0.87 1.61 -0.10 1.01 0.89 0.74 1.40 0.01
tNERD 1.27 -0.41 -0.87 1.61 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.70 0.00 4.00 6.95

Blake Snell, Los Angeles Dodgers

xFIP- SwStr% Strike% Velocity Age Pace Luck KN% C Total
Raw stat 75 15.3% 62.1% 95.2 mph 32 18.6s -19 0.0%
Z-score -1.59 2.23 -0.78 0.59 0.92 0.06
pNERD 3.17 1.11 -0.39 0.59 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 3.80 8.26

Trey Yesavage, Toronto Blue Jays

No detailed stats available

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