Andrew's Musings

MLB: What to watch on October 27, 2025

Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better. For more information, read this post.

Score Time (PT) Visitors Score Home Score Starter (V) Score Starter (H) Score
11.9 5:00p Toronto Blue Jays 6.9 Los Angeles Dodgers 7.6 Max Scherzer 4.1 Tyler Glasnow 5.2

Notes:

Detail

Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Dodgers, 5:00p

Summary

Scherzer’s last-act craft meets Glasnow’s height-and-heat in a 1–1 World Series swing game, and that contrast alone is worth your eyeballs. With a gNERD that sits near the historical upper quartile, this grades as an above-average watch driven by one premium arm and two offenses capable of quick-strike damage.

Glasnow owns the better pNERD and the stuff to match it (xFIP- edge, 95.9 mph), plus he’s allowed one run in 13.1 postseason innings with 18 strikeouts, the kind of swing-and-miss profile this model rewards. Scherzer’s pNERD lags, but he just gave Toronto 5.2 solid ALCS frames (2 ER) and now gets his first World Series start since 2019—and for a fourth different team, no less. Jays watchability also rides on elite defense (strong fielding runs) supporting above-average bats, while LA brings barrel rate thump and a top-graded bullpen. The Dodgers’ relief corps should be fully rested after Yamamoto’s Game 2 complete game that knotted the series. Bo Bichette’s World Series activation adds another skilled bat to Toronto’s mix, even if his role toggles by inning. Net: Glasnow-powered whiffs vs. Scherzer’s sequencing, with enough offense on both sides to keep channel-flipping to a minimum.

(A model from OpenAI generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3, 4.)

Recommended broadcasts: TV, Toronto Blue Jays (3.10); radio, Los Angeles Dodgers (2.51)

Toronto Blue Jays

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 90.8 8.1% -5.6 38.6 30.3 $248.4M 29.6 17.0 3.10 2.39
Z-score 1.27 -0.41 -0.87 1.61 -0.10 1.01 0.89 0.74 1.40 0.01
tNERD 1.27 -0.41 -0.87 1.61 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.70 0.00 4.00 6.95

Los Angeles Dodgers

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 95.1 10.0% -1.4 0.8 56.5 $341.0M 29.6 -3.0 2.45 2.51
Z-score 1.33 1.16 -0.26 0.04 1.09 2.26 0.89 -0.14 0.12 0.26
tNERD 1.33 1.16 -0.26 0.04 1.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.13 4.00 7.56

Max Scherzer, Toronto Blue Jays

xFIP- SwStr% Strike% Velocity Age Pace Luck KN% C Total
Raw stat 109 10.7% 66.5% 93.6 mph 40 19.2s 18 0.0%
Z-score 0.46 0.01 1.12 -0.14 3.01 0.55
pNERD -0.92 0.01 0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.90 0.00 3.80 4.07

Tyler Glasnow, Los Angeles Dodgers

xFIP- SwStr% Strike% Velocity Age Pace Luck KN% C Total
Raw stat 90 11.0% 60.2% 95.9 mph 31 18.8s -14 0.0%
Z-score -0.68 0.16 -1.62 0.91 0.66 0.22
pNERD 1.36 0.08 -0.81 0.91 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 3.80 5.23

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