Andrew's Musings

MLB: What to watch on October 29, 2025

Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better. For more information, read this post.

Score Time (PT) Visitors Score Home Score Starter (V) Score Starter (H) Score
13.9 5:00p Toronto Blue Jays 7.0 Los Angeles Dodgers 7.6 Trey Yesavage No data Blake Snell 8.3

Notes:

Detail

Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Dodgers, 5:00p

Summary

World Series rubber match energy with an actual pitching plot: Blake Snell’s swing-and-miss machine meets Toronto’s rookie wildfire Trey Yesavage in a rematch the bat-to-ball gods actually care about. The gNERD is a robust 13.90—comfortably above the historical median—because the watchability math and the storylines both hum.

Snell’s pNERD (8.26) is buoyed by an elite xFIP- around 75, and he just authored an NLCS Game 1 masterpiece (8 scoreless, 10 K, 0 BB) before getting nicked in this series’ opener, when Toronto detonated a nine-run sixth. Yesavage’s pNERD is a data blank only because the sample is newborn; the entertainment isn’t—he set a Blue Jays postseason record with 11 strikeouts in his ALDS debut and has since held his own on the biggest stage. Add that the series sits level after Toronto’s Game 4 win featuring Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s club-record seventh postseason homer, and the stakes match the stuff. The models like the shape of this: Dodgers’ tNERD leans on barrels and a strong pen, while Toronto brings elite defense and real thump. If you want bat speed vs. swing-and-miss and a rookie’s audacity against a two-time Cy winner, this is today’s best bet to feel big.

(A model from OpenAI generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3.)

Recommended broadcasts: TV, Toronto Blue Jays (3.10); radio, Los Angeles Dodgers (2.51)

Toronto Blue Jays

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 90.8 8.1% -5.5 38.6 30.3 $248.4M 29.6 17.0 3.10 2.39
Z-score 1.27 -0.41 -0.87 1.61 -0.10 1.01 0.89 0.74 1.40 0.01
tNERD 1.27 -0.41 -0.87 1.61 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.70 0.00 4.00 6.95

Los Angeles Dodgers

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 95.1 10.0% -1.2 0.8 56.5 $341.0M 29.6 -3.0 2.45 2.51
Z-score 1.33 1.16 -0.24 0.05 1.09 2.26 0.89 -0.14 0.12 0.26
tNERD 1.33 1.16 -0.24 0.05 1.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.13 4.00 7.58

Trey Yesavage, Toronto Blue Jays

No detailed stats available

Blake Snell, Los Angeles Dodgers

xFIP- SwStr% Strike% Velocity Age Pace Luck KN% C Total
Raw stat 75 15.3% 62.1% 95.2 mph 32 18.6s -19 0.0%
Z-score -1.59 2.23 -0.78 0.59 0.92 0.06
pNERD 3.17 1.11 -0.39 0.59 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 3.80 8.26

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