Andrew's Musings

MLB: What to watch on October 24, 2026

Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better. For more information, read this post.

Score Time (PT) Visitors Score Home Score Starter (V) Score Starter (H) Score
15.7 5:00p Tampa Bay Rays 4.5 Milwaukee Brewers 10.0 Drew Rasmussen 8.3 Logan Henderson 8.6

Notes:

Detail

Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers, 5:00p

Summary

This is World Series Game 2. Two teams that have never won a title are meeting in a series that already delivered a nail-biter, and tonight's pitching matchup is as sharp as the stage deserves. The Brewers took Game 1 3-2 behind Jacob Misiorowski giving Milwaukee five strong innings while Tampa Bay couldn't do meaningful damage against him or the bullpen, and now Nick Martinez's solid follow-up to a shaky start gives way to the Rays turning to their ace, Drew Rasmussen, trying to wrest home-field advantage back before the series shifts to Tropicana Field. This is the first postseason matchup between the Brewers and Rays and the first World Series to feature teams that had not previously won a title since 1980, which is the kind of history that actually matters. On the mound, it's a genuine pitchers' duel: Rasmussen and Logan Henderson both post identical xFIP- marks of 78, and both grade out as well above-average NERD arms, with Henderson's youth (24) and elite strike-throwing nudging him slightly ahead. Milwaukee's lineup, baserunning, and bullpen all rate strongly positive, while Tampa Bay's barrel rate is a real soft spot. At 15.72, this gNERD sits comfortably above the historical average and is tonight's only game, so there's no excuse to miss it.

(A model from Anthropic generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.)

Recommended broadcasts: TV, Milwaukee Brewers (2.66); radio, Milwaukee Brewers (2.56)

Tampa Bay Rays

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 25.4 5.7% 4.7 6.9 20.8 $106.9M 29.1 4.0 2.27 2.10 — —
Z-score 0.65 -2.07 0.72 0.27 -0.35 -1.10 0.07 0.18 -0.23 -0.61 — —
tNERD 0.65 -2.07 0.72 0.27 -0.35 1.10 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.00 4.00 4.50

Milwaukee Brewers

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 55.2 7.3% 7.7 7.9 66.0 $139.3M 27.7 -28.0 2.66 2.56 — —
Z-score 1.37 -0.40 1.20 0.31 1.18 -0.73 -1.21 -1.22 0.53 0.37 — —
tNERD 1.37 -0.40 1.20 0.31 1.18 0.73 1.21 0.00 0.27 0.18 4.00 10.04

Drew Rasmussen, Tampa Bay Rays

xFIP- SwStr% Strike% Velocity Age Pace Luck KN% C Total
Raw stat 78 11.3% 66.8% 95.6 mph 30 18.7s -14 0.0% — —
Z-score -1.43 0.37 1.26 0.63 0.40 -0.34 — — — —
pNERD 2.86 0.18 0.63 0.63 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 3.80 8.28

Logan Henderson, Milwaukee Brewers

xFIP- SwStr% Strike% Velocity Age Pace Luck KN% C Total
Raw stat 78 12.4% 68.3% 93.2 mph 24 20.5s -18 0.0% — —
Z-score -1.43 0.88 1.90 -0.43 -1.16 1.14 — — — —
pNERD 2.86 0.44 0.95 0.00 1.16 -0.57 0.00 0.00 3.80 8.64

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