Andrew's Musings

MLB: What to watch on October 28, 2026

Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better. For more information, read this post.

Score Time (PT) Visitors Score Home Score Starter (V) Score Starter (H) Score
17.2 5:00p Milwaukee Brewers 10.0 Tampa Bay Rays 4.5 Jacob Misiorowski 15.0 TBD No data

Notes:

Detail

Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays, 5:00p

Summary

This is great info. Now I have enough for the summary.

World Series Game 5, and Milwaukee can win it all tonight behind the most electric arm in the sport. The Brewers lead the series 3-1 after the Rays staved off elimination with a dramatic 12-inning walk-off in Game 4, so Tampa Bay is fighting for its postseason life while Jacob Misiorowski toes the rubber looking to close things out on the road. Misiorowski is the whole show here: a pNERD of 14.95 built on triple-digit velocity (100.6 mph average), a gaudy swinging-strike rate, and a sparkling xFIP-, and he's already beaten the Rays once this series, allowing one run on four hits over five innings in Game 1, finishing the regular season with a 1.80 ERA, 252 strikeouts and a 0.80 WHIP. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, hasn't even named a starter, with a bullpen game possible after Nick Martinez threw two scoreless innings in relief in Game 4 — hence the blank pNERD on their side. Milwaukee's tNERD comfortably outpaces Tampa Bay's, fueled by strong bullpen and baserunning marks, and the 17.25 gNERD sits miles above the historical average, making this appointment viewing regardless of how you feel about the Brewers possibly clinching their first title ever.

(A model from Anthropic generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.)

Recommended broadcasts: TV, Milwaukee Brewers (2.66); radio, Milwaukee Brewers (2.56)

Milwaukee Brewers

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 55.2 7.3% 7.8 7.9 66.0 $139.3M 27.7 -28.0 2.66 2.56 — —
Z-score 1.37 -0.40 1.19 0.31 1.18 -0.73 -1.21 -1.22 0.53 0.37 — —
tNERD 1.37 -0.40 1.19 0.31 1.18 0.73 1.21 0.00 0.27 0.18 4.00 10.04

Tampa Bay Rays

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 25.4 5.7% 4.9 6.9 20.8 $106.9M 29.1 4.0 2.27 2.10 — —
Z-score 0.65 -2.07 0.73 0.27 -0.35 -1.10 0.07 0.18 -0.23 -0.61 — —
tNERD 0.65 -2.07 0.73 0.27 -0.35 1.10 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.00 4.00 4.51

Jacob Misiorowski, Milwaukee Brewers

xFIP- SwStr% Strike% Velocity Age Pace Luck KN% C Total
Raw stat 54 17.6% 67.6% 100.6 mph 24 19.6s -11 0.0% — —
Z-score -2.87 3.29 1.60 2.86 -1.16 0.40 — — — —
pNERD 5.75 1.64 0.80 2.00 1.16 -0.20 0.00 0.00 3.80 14.95

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