Andrew's Musings

MLB: What to watch on October 14, 2026

Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better. For more information, read this post.

Score Time (PT) Visitors Score Home Score Starter (V) Score Starter (H) Score
16.2 5:00p Milwaukee Brewers 10.0 Los Angeles Dodgers 8.9 Robert Gasser 4.3 Blake Snell 9.2

Notes:

Detail

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers, 5:00p

Summary

This is NLCS Game 3, with Milwaukee up 2-0 — big stakes. Good material to write from.

This is NLCS Game 3 with Milwaukee one win shy of a stranglehold and the Dodgers backed into a corner, and it's also the best-pitched game on the board today by a wide margin. The Brewers arrive having taken the first two games in Los Angeles and carrying a 2-0 series lead, with manager Pat Murphy's club looking to push the defending champs to the brink. Blake Snell gets the ball for LA, and his pNERD of 9.21 — driven by a sparkling 73 xFIP- and a swinging-strike rate that's near the league's best — reflects just how dominant he's been in his abbreviated season; Snell owns a 1.90 ERA across nine starts and 42 2/3 innings, with a 1.10 WHIP, a 1.72 FIP and 11.6 strikeouts per nine, though shoulder and elbow trouble delayed his debut, and groin tightness ended his September 16 outing after one inning, with none of his last three appearances reaching five innings. Oddly, Milwaukee has had zero luck against him in the regular season: the Brewers in 20 at-bats during the regular season did not get a hit against Snell. Robert Gasser counters with a pedestrian pNERD of 4.33, but he was 5-5 with a 3.87 ERA during the regular season and a 2.50 ERA over his last 36 innings. Both lineups bring real thump — Milwaukee's bullpen and baserunning grade out well, the Dodgers' bats and bullpen even better — pushing the gNERD to 16.22, comfortably above today's other games and in rare territory historically.

(A model from Anthropic generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.)

Recommended broadcasts: TV, Milwaukee Brewers (2.66); radio, Milwaukee Brewers (2.56)

Milwaukee Brewers

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 55.2 7.3% 7.7 7.9 66.0 $139.3M 27.7 -28.0 2.66 2.56 — —
Z-score 1.37 -0.40 1.20 0.31 1.18 -0.73 -1.21 -1.22 0.53 0.37 — —
tNERD 1.37 -0.40 1.20 0.31 1.18 0.73 1.21 0.00 0.27 0.18 4.00 10.04

Los Angeles Dodgers

Batting Barrel% BaseR Fielding Bullpen Payroll Age Luck TV Radio C Total
Raw stat 80.1 8.6% -5.7 6.5 73.2 $413.5M 30.0 23.0 2.45 2.51 — —
Z-score 1.96 0.96 -0.95 0.25 1.43 2.41 0.90 1.01 0.12 0.26 — —
tNERD 1.96 0.96 -0.95 0.25 1.43 0.00 0.00 1.01 0.06 0.13 4.00 8.86

Robert Gasser, Milwaukee Brewers

xFIP- SwStr% Strike% Velocity Age Pace Luck KN% C Total
Raw stat 103 9.9% 66.0% 92.8 mph 27 19.2s -10 0.0% — —
Z-score 0.07 -0.28 0.96 -0.61 -0.38 0.07 — — — —
pNERD -0.15 -0.14 0.48 0.00 0.38 -0.04 0.00 0.00 3.80 4.33

Blake Snell, Los Angeles Dodgers

xFIP- SwStr% Strike% Velocity Age Pace Luck KN% C Total
Raw stat 73 15.8% 64.7% 96.1 mph 33 19.9s -28 0.0% — —
Z-score -1.73 2.45 0.39 0.86 1.18 0.65 — — — —
pNERD 3.46 1.23 0.19 0.86 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.00 3.80 9.21

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