MLB: What to watch on October 11, 2026
Here are today's MLB games, ordered by watchability, based on how interesting the teams and starting pitchers look. Higher is better. For more information, read this post.
| Score | Time (PT) | Visitors | Score | Home | Score | Starter (V) | Score | Starter (H) | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.9 | 5:00p | Los Angeles Dodgers | 8.9 | Milwaukee Brewers | 10.0 | Tarik Skubal | 11.9 | Jacob Misiorowski | 15.0 |
Notes:
- Pitcher 'no data': Pitchers only have a pNERD score once they've started at least one game and have at least 20 innings pitched. I also show 'no data' when I can't correctly link a starting pitcher with their stats.
- Generated by the mlb-watchability project on GitHub.
Detail
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers, 5:00p
Summary
Dodgers-Brewers Game 1 of the NLCS, rematch of last year's series, with a Cy Young caliber ace duel on the mound — this is must-watch October baseball. Skubal and Misiorowski rank among the best arms on the planet, and both bring nasty recent history against this very opponent into the series.
Misiorowski posted a ridiculous regular season, leading the majors in strikeouts, FIP, and WHIP, and Misiorowski has a career 1.59 ERA and 40.9% strikeout rate in three games against the Dodgers. His xFIP- of 54 and 100.6 mph average velocity back up the hype, pushing him to a pNERD near the top of the season's range. Skubal isn't far behind, having been even better after the trade, posting a 2.61 ERA and a 2.36 FIP across 62 innings in a Dodgers uniform, with a minuscule walk rate and dominant strikeout stuff of his own. Both teams bring strong, well-rounded rosters — the Brewers' tNERD edges out LA's thanks to youth, baserunning, and bullpen depth, while the Dodgers counter with thump and payroll-fueled star power. With a gNERD effectively off the charts for today's slate, this is appointment viewing: a pitching clinic with real stakes and real bite behind it.
(A model from Anthropic generated the above text using instructions, the NERD scores, and these sources: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9.)
Recommended broadcasts: TV, Milwaukee Brewers (2.66); radio, Milwaukee Brewers (2.56)
Los Angeles Dodgers
| Batting | Barrel% | BaseR | Fielding | Bullpen | Payroll | Age | Luck | TV | Radio | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 80.2 | 8.6% | -5.8 | 6.5 | 73.2 | $413.5M | 30.0 | 23.0 | 2.45 | 2.51 | — | — |
| Z-score | 1.97 | 0.96 | -0.95 | 0.25 | 1.43 | 2.41 | 0.90 | 1.01 | 0.12 | 0.26 | — | — |
| tNERD | 1.97 | 0.96 | -0.95 | 0.25 | 1.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 4.00 | 8.85 |
Milwaukee Brewers
| Batting | Barrel% | BaseR | Fielding | Bullpen | Payroll | Age | Luck | TV | Radio | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 55.2 | 7.3% | 7.6 | 8.3 | 66.0 | $139.3M | 27.7 | -28.0 | 2.66 | 2.56 | — | — |
| Z-score | 1.37 | -0.40 | 1.19 | 0.32 | 1.18 | -0.73 | -1.21 | -1.22 | 0.53 | 0.37 | — | — |
| tNERD | 1.37 | -0.40 | 1.19 | 0.32 | 1.18 | 0.73 | 1.21 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 0.18 | 4.00 | 10.05 |
Tarik Skubal, Los Angeles Dodgers
| xFIP- | SwStr% | Strike% | Velocity | Age | Pace | Luck | KN% | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 65 | 15.6% | 68.3% | 96.8 mph | 29 | 18.3s | 0 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Z-score | -2.21 | 2.36 | 1.92 | 1.17 | 0.14 | -0.67 | — | — | — | — |
| pNERD | 4.42 | 1.18 | 0.96 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.80 | 11.87 |
Jacob Misiorowski, Milwaukee Brewers
| xFIP- | SwStr% | Strike% | Velocity | Age | Pace | Luck | KN% | C | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stat | 54 | 17.6% | 67.6% | 100.6 mph | 24 | 19.6s | -11 | 0.0% | — | — |
| Z-score | -2.87 | 3.29 | 1.60 | 2.86 | -1.16 | 0.40 | — | — | — | — |
| pNERD | 5.75 | 1.64 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 1.16 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.80 | 14.95 |
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MLB: What to watch on October 10, 2026